Forecast (0000 UTC 19 March)
Current Conditions:
According to the most recent ASCAT pass an hour ago, winds in your vicinity are around 14-17 knots from the ENE. Other imagery indicates that there are low-mid-level clouds at your location, and that conditions are likely mostly cloudy. Significant waves are approximately 2-3m (period ~ 10s), moving southward. Wind waves are about 1-1.5m (period ~ 6-8s) going to the SW. Currents in your vicinity are weak and ambiguous. Temperature should be near a comfortable 70*F (21*C).
Short Term Forecast:
For the next 24 hours, conditions should be relatively steady. Trade winds from the ENE around 12-15 knots should be fairly consistent, perhaps decreasing temporarily to ~10 knots around 3/19 18UTC. Significant wave height will remain around ~2-3m going to the S for 3/19, decreasing as the day continues. Currents remain weak and ambiguous in your immediate vicinity. Partly cloudy conditions will exist for 3/19, with the possibility for clear skies.
Long term forecast:
A small anticyclone to your north is responsible for the fairly steady conditions over the current day and for the next few days. However, starting on Thursday, 3/21, this anticyclone will be swept eastward from interaction with a low pressure center off the coast of the eastern seaboard. With this shift of the anticyclone, your winds should shift from NE/ENE to E/ESE on 3/21. Wind speeds should not become too fast though, maybe with an upper maximum on 3/22 of 18 knots. Current models for Friday 3/22 show a front associated with this low center, and suggest that it will slide well to your north on Friday/Saturday instead, leaving you with light (~5 knot) southerly winds and clear skies (<20% cloud). However, this is a 100+ hour forecast and is subject to change. The next forecaster should watch this storm and reassess the models' development and placement of this front and its associated clouds. Significant wave heights should remain in the 1.5-2m range through Friday and beyond. Clouds from now-Friday should be of the scattered, partly-mostly cloudy nature, perhaps with occasional clear skies.
Next 12 hrs (3/19 00UTC-3/20 12UTC):
Wind: 12-15 knots from the ENE
Waves: 2-3m (~11-12s) significant wave height going to the S
Current: weak and ambiguous
Cloud Cover: partly cloudy, 25-40%
12-24 hr forecast (3/19 12UTC – 3/20 00UTC):
Wind: 12-15 knots from the ENE, winds may decrease to ~10 knots around 18UTC and then increase again
Waves: 1.5-2.5m (~10-11s) sig wave height going to the SE
Current: weak and ambiguous
Cloud Cover: Partly-mostly cloud, 45-65%
24-48 hr forecast (3/20 00UTC -3/21 00UTC):
Wind: 12-15 knots from the ENE from 0-15UTC, decreasing to ~10 knots around 18UTC.
Waves: 1.5-2m (~10-11s) sig wave height decreasing temporarily to ~1m around 20UTC.
Current: weak and ambiguous in your vicinity,
Cloud Cover: Partly cloud, 30-50%, with possibility for occasional clear skies.