Current Conditions: Due to a swath of dry air aloft, satellite is showing scattered cumulus in your region. None of the clouds look too deep or horizontally extensive. Probably lots of puffy clouds. Also, there is not appear to be any high-level clouds. Pressures continue to be around 1016 mb with temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s. ASCAT is showing winds right around 20 kts, which is a little bit higher than the models are showing. The waves are still high quite high at 2-3 m from the NW.
Short-term Forecast: There are going to be some changes coming up as a front-like feature approaches. First, I expect that the clouds will continue to decrease, especially going into Sunday the 24th. Cloud cover will be greater to your south. The models are also showing that your winds will continue to decrease and direction is going to drastically change. Instead of coming from the east, it is going to swing around and come from a more southerly direction. The winds have a larger greater southerly if you go north. The waves are also going to go through some changes. The good news is that the waves are going to continue to decrease over the next day. Additionally, the waves will come more from the north and the period will decrease. We are still working out the best way to forecast currents. Observations from satellite continue to show that you are in an expansive area with very weak currents. I do not expect that to change but the currents might slightly increase towards the SW tomorrow.
Longer-term Forecast: It looks like you are in for a little bit of a regime change. The biggest changes appear to be in the wind and waves. That pesky high pressure system is going to continue to move off to the east and a front-like feature associated with a cyclone in the North Atlantic may pass on Sunday, the 24th. As this front-like features passes I expect your winds are going to weaken, but the direction will become much more variable. Initially, it appears that they will from the south. But once they front passes, it looks like the winds will switch and come more from the NE. The waves will also slightly decrease in height, but the biggest change appears to be a decrease in period.
Next 12 hours (0000-1200 UTC 23 February)
Pressure: ~1016 mb
Winds: 12-15 kts from W, slightly component from the SW if go north
Waves: 2-3 m, 11-13s from NW
Currents: weak
Clouds: Partly Sunny (30-50% cloud cover)
12-18 hours (1200-1800 UTC 23 February)
Pressure: ~1017 mb
Winds: 9-12 kts from the SW
Waves: 1.5-2.5 m, 11-13 s from NNE
Currents: weak, maybe slightly stronger around 38deg towards the SW
Clouds: Increasing Sun (20-40% cloud cover)
18-24 hours (1800 UTC 23 February – 0000 UTC 24 February)
Pressure: ~1016 mb
Winds: 9-12 kts from the S
Waves: 1.5-2 m, 10-12s from NNE
Currents: weak, maybe slightly stronger around 38deg towards the SW
Clouds: Increasing Sun (20-40% Cloud Cover)