Categories
Day - Few Clouds

Heading toward the islands

Winds and waves should calm a bit over the next day or two.

Current summary: Winds from boats and satellites all look to be around 20 kts from the NNE closer to Africa and NE moving out to the islands. Ship obs are all saying 20. Your last ob was even 19! ECMWF has the winds at 18-23 about when you should be reading this, but down to 15-18 through Monday, always from the NE. GFS has it down to 12-15 Monday. Currents… I’m working on making some plots so we can see the currents better. RTOFS is saying that there is some current to your west over the next 24h. It peaks about 1 deg west of where you are now, around 20W, at something like 2-3 kts, and should take you NW or N… or W. It will be interesting to see if that is realistic. Right now waves are supposedly from the NE at 2-3 m and 8-9 s. Over the next 24 they should die down to 1.5-2 m.

Long term forecast: ECMWF has wind patches down to 9-12 Tuesday, before picking up to 15-18 again Wednesday. Always from the NE. No other 18-23 on the horizon. GFS weakens more and generally has slower winds by something like 5 kts. As for current, no eddies obviously in your path immediately.
Tuesday waves might turn to come from the NW.

Next 12 h @ current location
Winds – 15-18 NE
Waves – 8-9 sec from the NE, 2-3m
Current – none

12-18 h @ 19.5-20 W
Winds – 15-18 NE
Waves – from the NE, 2-3 m
Current – none (unless you head further south, then it should push you north)

24h around 20 W, current lat
Winds – 15-18 but then dropping 12-15 NE
Waves – from the NE, 1.5-2 m
Current – 2 kts pushing you NW

Forecaster Pendergrass

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *