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Night - Windy

April showers…

A small system is brings a bit of rain but winds that aren’t unfavorable tonight. Tomorrow the rain will clear but the winds will stay favorable.

Right now things are looking good. The buoys and stations around you all show northerly winds under 10 kts, and waves around 1.5 m. Yay! The satellite shows some clouds streaming toward you from the southwest at upper levels. That’s ahead of a low spinning way way out to sea, about 43 N 145 W. That is a tiny low, only 1012 mb center. And it’s dissipating. But it’s moving toward you so you might see the pressure dropping a bit. The WRF says it will pass over your heads tonight, so if you find yourself on the other side (tonight and tomorrow morning) you might see weak brief weak southerlies. This placement of the low is consistent with the buoy to your south seeing easterlies.

The rest of tomorrow, winds should be northwesterly, 15 kts or less.

Starting midnight Monday, the northwest winds should build, there’s a speck of 20 kts from the WRF at 2 AM just a hair offshore, widening through the morning, up to a speck of 25 kts by 2 PM, and back to 20 by 2 AM Tuesday. (All northwesterly).

Winds switch ahead of the storm Tuesday at 11 AM according to the current WRF run. This has been pretty consistent over the last 4 runs (48 h), so there might be something to it. EC says winds (southeasterly) could get as strong as 35 kts Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday, which is consistent with the WRF.

Waves should be small! The Wavewatch model says they should be from the west-southwest, which might be kind of annoying crossing you, but the good news is it should be under 2m and not growing! Yay!

The rain you’re probably seeing now should clear out tomorrow afternoon! And the clouds should clear out a few hours later! And then you should be dry until that storm Tuesday!

Forecaster Pendergrass

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